Category: Investing

50% to 60% Market Correction was discussed by John Hussman who had called the Tech Crash of 2000. Watch your Sell Stops.

Posted by: Vincent Banial

Heads Up.
Watch your Sell Stops.

Talk about a 50% to 60% (or more)
Stock Market Correction (CRASH).

Back in Jan 2017 the Huffington Post ran an article in which Robert Shiller discussed the similarity between President Trump and past U.S. President Calvin Coolidge. After President Coolidge left the Oval Office, the1929 Market Crash happened.

Fortune has now posted an article about John Hussman which was titled: “Famed Investor Predicts Historic Market Drop.

Video is courtesy of the Tip TV Finance YouTube channel

Click on this link to read a prior post by John Hussman titled “Estimating the Risk of a Market Crash.”

Click on this link to read the latest post by John Hussman where he details that there could be a U.S. Stock market Correction in the order of a 50% to 60% (last paragraph).

Click on this link to visit the Wikipedia page about the 1929 Stock Market Crash.

Disclaimer: The above post does not provide Investment Advice. Speak to your own Investment Advisor before placing any bets in the Stock Markets. Do Your Own DUE DILIGENCE. The above post is for entertainment purposes only.

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When the Sunspot Cycle peaks, so could the stock market based on the Dow30 index

This is one way to possibly forecast how the US Stock Market (Dow 30 Index) could be doing. Check a Historical DOW30 Index chart to see when the Peaks occurred. Then check the Sunspot Cycle chart below.

Sunspot chart is courtesy of our friends at NASA at the Marshall Space Flight Center.

Click on this Link to display a Historic Chart of the DOW30 Index courtesy of the Stockcharts.com site (sorry but can’t get the embed code to auto display).

Sunspots run in cycles and In My Opinion so does the US Stock Market (your mileage may of course differ).

Posted by: Vincent Banial
http://www.uniquelytoronto.com

Disclaimer: The above is not meant as Financial or Investment advice. I am not a registered Financial or Investment advisor. Do your own Due Diligence. Always seek out the advice from your own Financial and Investment Professionals before placing any bets at the Financial Markets casinos called the Stock Market. You can lose money, possibly all of it, when buying and selling or trading stocks. The above is not a recommendation to buy or sell the DOW30 Index or any other stock. The above post is for Entertainment purposes only.

USA TODAY: “Market crash robs $2.3T from investors”

They have dropped the price of Crude Oil to help bolster Western economies. Had the price of Oil not dropped, then IMHO we would have had a major Stock market Crash last year – 1929 style. Thankfully we have not “Yet” had a Stock Market Crash.

The US employment figures are a figment of the Government’s Imagination. There are record numbers of Americans (over 94 Million) who “stopped” looking for work. Why? Because they could NOT find any….

A new article posted by USA Today, goes into some detail of the stocks which fell in price.

Please click on this line to read the USA Today post titled “Market crash robs $2.3T from investors”.

I just hope that they can continue to drop the price of Crude Oil. That is the only thing which in my opinion is propping everything up.

 

Posted by: Vincent Banial
http://www.uniquelytoronto.com

Disclaimer: Any Trademarks mentioned in this post are owned by the respective Trademark owner. There could be unintentional errors or omissions in this post. Always refer to the official sites to confirm details and any ongoing changes or updates. This post is subject to change without notice./em>

Chicago Tribune article “Spoofing trial to shine light on secret world of high-frequency trading”

A-Z of Dance. Fantastic video directed by Jacob Sutton for i-D fashion magazine and DIESEL jeans

Visiting the Dancing Astronaut Facebook page, I watched a neat video which they had posted May 02 2015, on their Timeline.

So I did some research and found the source video. It’s title was “A-Z of Dance“. This video had been directed by Jacob Sutton and was produced for i-D fashion magazine and DIESEL – the Italian Jeans manufacturer.

DIESEL is a wonderful story about Renzo Rosso ( an Italian farmers son) who had a great idea. Click on this line to read the typicaly superb Forbes article titled: “Blue Jean Billionaire: Inside Diesel, Renzo Rosso’s $3 Billion Fashion Empire”. Yes, from farmers son to a member of the Billionaires Club.

Video is courtesy of the DIESEL YouTube channel

 

Posted by: Vincent Banial for Uniquely Toronto
http://www.uniquelytoronto.com

Disclaimer: Any Trademarks mentioned in this post are owned by the respective Trademark owner. There could be unintentional errors or omissions in this post. Always refer to the official sites to confirm details and any ongoing changes or updates. This post is subject to change without notice.

 

 

Updates on my trading CSCO and FEYE have been posted in our prior post

Sorry. I will do better next time with having separate posts for Updates.

Updates to my trading CSCO and FEYE have been posted at the bottom of the prior post. Just click on this line to get you to that prior post.

An interesting lesson occurred.The FEYE stock price reversed and hit my Sell Stop last Friday. Today (Mon Apr 20) FEYE reversed and rose back up again, rather nicely.  It closed on Apr 20 2015 at $42.43.

I have found that sticking to one’s Sell Stop allows one to stay in the game. Yes, I suffered a small loss by selling. Next time a Sell Stop may save me from a huge loss. You cannot win at this game without having losing trades.

Okay, where the heck did I put that bottle of Bourbon…

Posted by: Vincent Banial for Uniquely Toronto
http://www.uniquelytoronto.com

Disclaimer: The above is not meant as Financial or Investment advice. I am not a registered Financial or Investment advisor. Do your own Due Diligence. Always seek out the advice from your own Financial and Investment Professionals before placing any bets at the Financial Markets casinos called the Stock Market. You can lose money, possibly all of it, when buying and selling or trading stocks. The above is not a recommendation to buy or sell CSCO or FEYE or any other stock. The above post is for Entertainment purposes only.

FEYE and CSCO trades, new Sell Stops

The new Sell Stop for FEYE will be the Low which occurred on Apr 14. FEYE Sell Stop is now $40.81. If the prices falls to or below $40.81 the Sell Stop becomes a Market Order and the 1,000 shares of FEYE would be sold off. Sell Stops can protect you against a big loss. So far the FEYE trade has not done well. We’re still in the game until the Sell Stop gets hit.

The new Sell Stop for CSCO will again be the Low which occurred on Apr 14.

CSCO Sell Stop is now $27.68. If the prices falls to or below $27.68 the Sell Stop becomes a Market Order and the 1,000 shares of CSCO would be sold off. Sell Stops can protect you against a big loss.

So far the CSCO trade looks good. It has hit a Resistance Level, but the trading volume has held steady. If it can fill the Gap which was created on Fen 12 2015,  by hitting the price of $28.84 or higher, that will bode well for a further rise. The Feb 12 Low of $28.84 looks to be the next Resistance Level for CSCO.

UPDATE Apr 17 8PM :

FEYE Sell Stop got hit today. Sold 1000 shares at $40.81. First loss, of many to come…

UPDATE Apr 20 11:30PM:

Guess what FEYE closed today at $42.43. I may get back in, but usually do not play the same stock for fear of trying to get even. I’m not upset since I strictly followed selling once the Sell Stop got hit. In the long term doing so will pay off, as it has in the past.

Posted by: Vincent Banial for Uniquely Toronto
http://www.uniquelytoronto.com

Disclaimer: The above is not meant as Financial or Investment advice. I am not a registered Financial or Investment advisor. Do your own Due Diligence. Always seek out the advice from your own Financial and Investment Professionals before placing any bets at the Financial Markets casinos called the Stock Market. You can lose money, possibly all of it, when buying and selling or trading stocks. The above is not a recommendation to buy or sell CSCO or FEYE or any other stock. The above post is for Entertainment purposes only.

CSCO and FEYE trades on April 13, for our Imaginary Trading Portfolio

On Apr 13 2015 Cisco CSCO opened at $27.99 per share.

On Apr 13 2015 FireEye FEYE opened at $42.69 per share.

So our Imaginary Trading Portfolio purchased 1,000 shares each of CSCO and FEYE.

Purchased CSCO 1,000 shares = $27,990.00 + $25 Brokerage Fee.

Purchased FEYE 1,000 shares = $42,690.00 + $25 Brokerage Fee.

Posted by: Vincent Banial for Uniquely Toronto
http://www.uniquelytoronto.com

Disclaimer: The above is not meant as Financial or Investment advice. I am not a registered Financial or Investment advisor. Do your own Due Diligence. Always seek out the advice from your own Financial and Investment Professionals before placing any bets at the Financial Markets casinos called the Stock Market. You can lose money, possibly all of it, when buying and selling or trading stocks. The above is not a recommendation to buy or sell CSCO or FEYE or any other stock. The above post is for Entertainment purposes only.

CSCO and FEYE breaking out? Setting up an imaginary portfolio to trade

Cisco and FireEye, both trading on Nasdaq, are looking interesting. Maybe breaking out.

For our new imaginary portfolio I will buy 1,000 shares each of CSCO and FEYE on Nasdaq at open on Monday Apr 13. I will use the official “Open” price.

Investing and Trading is something that I’m considering getting back into.

The number 13 is supposedly “unlucky”, so we’ll see how these trades will work out. They both will be swing trades.

I’ll try and post charts tomorrow night. It’s half past midnight (AM) right now on Apr 13 2015

 
Posted by: Vincent Banial for Uniquely Toronto
http://www.uniquelytoronto.com

Disclaimer: The above is not meant as Financial or Investment advice. I am not a registered Financial or Investment advisor. Do your own Due Diligence. Always seek out the advice from your own Financial and Investment Professionals before placing any bets at the Financial Markets casinos called the Stock Market. You can lose money, possibly all of it, when buying and selling or trading stocks. The above is not a recommendation to buy or sell CSCO or FEYE or any other stock. The above post is for Entertainment purposes only.

US Jobless Report for Mar 2015 could be giving a Heads Up to a potential Stock Market Crash later in 2015

New Economic Indicator Revealed, which shows that the Recession is finally over


It’s true. The Recession must be over.
I saw the proof with my own eyes earlier this week.


What proof was that? Continue reading

Is the American Dream an Illusion?

Gregory Clark, a UC Davis Economics Prof., recently put together an article on the Foreign Affairs site where he posits that your parents and grandparents social status in society determines your eventual social status level and also that of your kids.

Video is courtesy of The RSA YouTube Channel

Numbers do not lie, but their interpretation can vary. There can often be outliers to any data set. For example, Steve Jobs of Apple fame rise to Billionaire status, readily comes to mind.

I also believe that access to higher levels of education can dramatically change the level to which one can rise on the Social Status ladder. Higher levels of education also allow one to network with other students who come from far wealthier families.

But I believe that Gregory Clark may have an important point and that his data set could very well be proof that the so called American Dream is in fact just an illusion for the vast majority of citizenry. I also think that this applies to most other western countries, including Canada…

 

Posted by: Vincent Banial

Disclaimer: Any Trademarks mentioned in this post are owned by the respective Trademark owner. There could be unintentional errors or omissions in this post. Always refer to the official sites to confirm details and any ongoing changes or updates. This post is subject to change without notice.

Taylor Wilson’s Nuclear Reactor design can change the world and maybe make him the world’s first Trillionaire

Video is courtesy of TEDtalksDirector and their YouTube channel

So who is Taylor Wilson? Taylor Wilson is a young man, who has recently graduated from High School. He is also a genius, without doubt.

I do not believe that money is his motivator, but I highly suspect that he could become the world’s first Trillionaire.

He has redesigned the way a Nuclear Fission Reactor would work. His design is said to be incredibly safe to operate. He also has visions of his reactor design being used to power mankind’s space voyages of the future.

English: Boiling water reactor system diagram

English: Boiling water reactor system diagram (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

His fission reactor design is smaller by design and he states that the components  can be mass-produced, on assembly lines. Henry Ford change the world with similar ideas about automobile production.

The Wilson reactors will be smaller, far safer, lower in cost and at least 50% more efficient than present designs. That means about 50% more electric power generation, when compared to the present day nuclear reactors.

He states that the final cost of the electricity produced will be competitive with natural gas-powered electric power generation.

Nuclear fission reactors typically require that their fuel rods be replaced approx every 12 to 18 months. The Taylor Wilson nuclear fission reactor design has the nuclear fuel being replaced every 30 years. That will dramatically reduce operating costs and the need for safe and secure storage of waste nuclear fuel rods.

To make the nuclear reactor installation safer and more secure, the Taylor Wilson reactor would be installed underground, Unlike reactors in present use, the Wilson reactor design functions in a non pressurized containment vessel. So if a crack were to develop in the containment vessel, there would be no pressurized release of nuclear material or contaminated gasses.

Unlike at Fukushima Japan, the Wilson reactor can be shutdown by totally stopping the nuclear fission reaction. The danger of hydrogen gas buildup, is also eliminated in the Taylor Wilson design. That in turn eliminates the possibility of a hydrogen explosion and release of nuclear material into the atmosphere which occurred in Japan.

China’s continued growth could be a huge market for the Taylor Wilson designed Nuclear Reactor. Japan could consider his reactors to provide Japan’s power generation needs. Solar and Wind power generation can only supply a comparatively small fractions of Europe’s electric power needs. The Taylor Wilson designed reactors could supply Europe’s requirements and do it very safely and at a cost far lower than present day Solar power generation.

The Taylor Wilson design results in a small reactor, but it is capable of generating 50 megaWatts of electrical power. The more compact design, low-cost and high safety could mean the reactor could also be used by mining and oil companies. One clear customer could be the oil sands developers in Canada. The Taylor Wilson reactors could provide the power to run the steam generators at Alberta oil sands sites, for example. I could go and on.

Based on the above points, I believe that Taylor Wilson stands a very good chance of becoming the world’s first Trillionaire. His design is as much a game changer as Henry Ford’s production lines were.

My suggestion to readers, would be to do more research on Taylor Wilson.

It is my opinion that Taylor Wilson has come up with something that can change the world, much like Henry Ford did…

David Deming essay “What if Atlas shrugged”. “Instead of apologizing for the use of fossil fuels, we ought to be damn glad we have them.”

English: Scientist David Deming testifying bef...

English: Scientist David Deming testifying before the United States Congress (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Lewrockwell.com recently posted an interesting David Deming essay titled “What if Atlas Shrugged”. Who is David Deming, you ask? He is a geologist, professor of arts and sciences at the University of Oklahoma, and the author of the series Science and Technology in World History. Continue reading

Something seems wrong with the chart of the Nasdaq NDX index.

Nasdaq- NDX

Weekly Nasdaq NDX Index. Photo credit ccvic.zenfolio.com

My conjecture is that the chart of the NDX index is showing a Head & Shoulders or Triple Top formation. I could also make a case for a George Lindsay Three Peaks and Domed House chart formation.  Stranger still is that the VIX is sitting at five year lows. Continue reading

Wake Up call for Canada. Wages in Mexico now lower than those in China, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand and South Korea.

English: A North American Free Trade Agreement...

English: A North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) Logo. Español: Logotipo del Tratado de Libre Comercio de América del Norte (TLCAN). Français : Logo de Accord de libre-échange nord-américain (ALENA). (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

While China’s exports have grown, many have lost sight of  Canada’s other Neighbor. With the Free Trade agreement Goods can flow from Mexico into the US and into Canada. A lot of new US Production has moved to Mexico.

Now it seems that labour costs in Mexico are lower than in China. In 2010 the average wage in China was under $2.00 per hour. I would suspect that it is now still under $3.00 per hour. Wages in China are rising due to worker shortages.

A new report published by Bank of America Merrill Lynch claims that Mexican wages are now lower than Chinese wages. The disparity should continue to increase. China’s labour shortages are the driver to increasing wages in China. Continue reading

Curreny War in Asia could now get underway. Japan bets over $1 Trillion to try and increase inflation to 2 percent.

English: Series E 10000 Yen Bank of Japan note...

English: Series E 10000 Yen Bank of Japan note. Portrait: Fukuzawa Yukichi. First issued in 2004. 160mm x 76mm. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

North Korea is a distraction, at least till May. Japan just fired the first round of what I believe could be the coming Currency War in Asia. China has never forgotten, nor forgiven Japan for the atrocities during the Japanese occupation of China during World War 2. Chinese citizen have held huge demonstrations and called for boycotts of Japanese firms, goods and services. Continue reading

PFSW trading on Nasdaq breakout on Mar 27 2013

Stock chart of PFSW which trades on Nasdaq showing price breakout

PFSW trading on Nasdaq Break out on Mar 27 2013. Photo credit ccvic.zenfolio.com

Time for another discussion about stock trading. If you don’t have a charting program, I would highly recommend checking out AmiBroker. You can Download a free 30 day clicking on the following link: AmiBroker official site with 30 day trial.

Today’s topic will be PFSW, which trades on the Nasdaq. On  Mar 27, that stock had a gap up at Open and continued on it’s merry way. Continue reading

Opportunity knocks. Yearly, 160 Billion disposable chopsticks are produced in China. That’s a lot of disposable trees being cut down.

English: Chopsticks for cooking

English: Chopsticks for cooking (Photo credit: OttawaAC & Wikipedia)
http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/User:OttawaAC

Interesting article found in the Times Of India, on Mar 11 2013 (I’ll provide a link to that article below). It was about chopstick production in China. What are Chopsticks? They are two narrow and straight sticks of wood. Both are held by the fingers of one hand and are used to pickup food from a dish and transport it to one’s mouth.

Visit a local Chinese Restaurant and many will provide you with disposable chopsticks. Lots of fun for Westerners to try. Surprisingly, Chopsticks can be very efficient once you get the hand of using them.

The article gives a few figures about Disposable Chopstick production in China. They quote 80 Billion pairs produced yearly. That’s 160 billion chopsticks. Continue reading

GuestLogix Inc. Breakout. Trading on the Toronto TMX exchange, as symbol GXI

GuestLogix Stock Chart - Shorter Term View - symbol GXI trading on stock exchange in Toronto. Price Breakout on mar 11

GuestLogix Stock Chart – Shorter Term View – symbol GXI trading on stock exchange in Toronto. Price Breakout on Mar 11

Time for another Trading / Investing related post. It’s been a while since the prior post about trading Ford shares.  Two stock charts were added to this post. Both are daily charts. One shows a longer term view and the other short-term view. Both also have Fibonacci ratios plotted on them. Continue reading

Beware of the Ides of March.

Back when Rome ruled Europe and the Middle East, the Ides of March was a day dedicated to Mars the God of War. March usually brings with it the first signs of Spring. With change comes uncertainty.

English: North Korea

English: North Korea (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

North Korea has indicated that it will cancel the 1950s Cease Fire Agreement with South Korea. Tentatively the date for that action is said to be Mar 11. Not a good omen, especially in the year of the venomous Water Snake. Continue reading

Stock Trading FORD – Sell Stop Hit Jan 29 2013 – Capital Gain of $3.54 per share.

Stock cahrt of FORD. created by Vincent BanialStock chart of FORD stock created by Vincent Banial using AmiBroker charting software

A family member had bought some FORD shares. He bases his buys on Fundamentals. I’m a visual person, so numbers don’t have as much meaning as does a picture or a stock chart. Continue reading