Tagged: Recession 2019

IMF World Economic Outlook projects a slowdown in growth in 2019 for 70 percent of the world economy

 

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released a new World Economic Outlook (WEO) which projects a slowdown in growth in 2019 for 70 percent of the world economy.

Click on this link to vist the IMF website to read their IMFBLOG post titled: “The Global Economy: A Delicate Moment“.

Posted by Vincent Banial

Inverted Yield Curve indicates that a Recession is coming!

An Inverted Yield Curve has historically been a reliable signal that a Recession is on its way! You get an Inverted Yield Curve when short-term yields are higher than longer-term yields.

The Dow Index dropped over 460 points today Fri Mar 22 2019. The S&P Index fell 1.9% and the Nasdaq dropped 2.5%. The Russell 200 fell over 3.6%.

Click on this link to visit the Nasdaq website and view the Stock Market Indices.

Video is courtesy of The Money GPS YouTube channel

A drop in the Stock Markets on a Friday
is NOT A GOOD THING!

Why?

People will have Sat and Sun to get worried. When Investors get worried they tend to Sell. I believe that Monday Mar 25 will be another down day in the Stock Markets.

Next Monday’s drops should be greater than today’s drops.

Click on this link to visit the CNBC website to read their news article titled “Dow drops more than 450 points, S&P 500 posts worst day since January amid global growth worries“.

Posted by: Vincent Banial

US Fed announced no Interest Hikes in 2019

In 2018, the US Fed had stated that there would be up to three Interest Rate hikes in 2019.  Today the Fed announced that there will not be any Interest rate Hikes in 2019. Yes, they seem to have reversed course.

IMHO I believe this is smoke and mirrors. The Price of Oil has had a price breakout upwards. Expect to pay MORE for fuel. That will spark Inflation again, just as it had last year. When the Rate of Inflation goes up, then the US Fed will raise Interest Rates.

Video is courtesy of the TheoTrade, LLC YouTube channel

Posted by: Vincent Banial

Is the US Economy LOSING STEAM?

The International Monetary Fund has cut its world economic growth forecast for 2019

The International Monetary Fund has cut its world economic growth forecast for 2019. The IMF projected a 3.5 percent growth rate worldwide for 2019. that is 0.2 percent lower than their prior projection made in Oct. 2018.

 

Video is courtesy of the Global News YouTube channel

 

Germany has the largest economy in Europe, is slowing down and just missed officially being in a Recession in 2018.

 

Click on this link to visit the Business Insider website to read their article titled “Germany, the 4th-largest economy, probably just went into an unexpected recession“.

 

The Chinese Economy is slowing down and it had the slowest growth rate in 2018 of the last 28 years.

 

The US is the world’s largest economy. When the US FED raises Interest Rates again in 2019, guess what will happen to the slowing US Economy?

 

Signs of the coming 2019 Recession are popping up everywhere.

 

Home sales fell 6.4% in December

Just another sign that the US is heading towards a Recession in 2019. In the US, Home Sales FELL dramatically by 6.4% in December 2018.

Watch Home Sales plunge further, when the next FED Interest Hike is announced later in 2019.

 

Video is courtesy of the CNBC Television YouTube channel

 

Click on this link to visit the AP News website to read their article titled “US home sales plummeted 6.4 percent in December“.

Global Ecomony headed for Recession in 2019 by John Kemp

The OECD composite leading indicator has a near perfect record of giving advance warning of Recession lurking just around the corner.

 

Please click on this link to view chart of the OECD composite leading indicator https://data.oecd.org/chart/5rwx

 

Since 1970, when the OECD composite leading indicator had dropped below the 99.43 level a Recession followed in 1970, 1974, 1980, 1981, 1990, 2001 and 2008.

 

Another thing you will note that there is almost a cyclical component to Recessions. It was 10 years between 1970 and 1980. It was 11 years between 1980 and 1991. Another 11 years between 1991 and 2001. Then 7 years between 2001 and 2008. Add 11 years to 2008 and your get 2019. Surprise!!!!

 

Click on this link to view John Kemp’s charts related to his article: https://tmsnrt.rs/2HfQKH5

 

Click on this link to visit the Thomson Reuters Foundation News website to read John Kemp’s article titled: “Global economy is headed for recession: Kemp“.

 

In the United States and Germany, the tentative signs of easing growth momentum, that were flagged in December’s assessment, have been confirmed with easing growth momentum remaining the assessment for Canada, the United Kingdom and the euro area as a whole, including France and Italy.